Showing posts with label US. Show all posts
Showing posts with label US. Show all posts

Thursday, May 3, 2012

Thoughts about market short term conditions 3.5.2012

In despite of the trading models and algorithms, I see market in an interesting condition. My personal attitude is currently a slightly bearish, so it is easier to see the negative signs.

EUR-USD has been trying to get below 1.31 for a while. Breaking below 1.3 could take it to near 1.27 which should also take the stocks down. Also (high-risk vs. low-risk) AUD-JPY has been in a downtrend since the middle of March and we just saw new lower low. Will we see it falling below 81? At least the fall of both these currency pairs would definitely bring the stocks down in a short term.

And look at Dax while it is again about to try how the bigger rising trend line holds. If Dax breaks below the trend line, then 6544 is a definite. Although Dax has been trying to break below 6544 already since April 10th, this time the probability for a break down will be higher. Maybe we will see 6244? S&P 500 breaking below 1380 would take it back to 1357.

Without any serious bad news, the previous outcome should be enough to interest big players to push the buy buttons. At least the world seems to have a faith in US market and remember, stocks doesn't equal the economy.

Friday, February 17, 2012

S&P500 resistance 17.2.2012

The recent money flow statistics has some evidence that the next two days would be bearish. This would be verified with the current resistance level S&P500 is facing. At least the index has tried to break above 1358.6 but haven't succeeded yet. There is also the previous April 2011 high at 1376.1. S&P500 remains in an uptrend above 1345.


Thursday, December 22, 2011

US money flow

Looks like the big players already placed their bets and currently are not accumulating any more.

Monday, December 19, 2011

US money flow

According to peak in positive money flow on Friday, it seems that big players are betting on Santa Claus Rally.