Thursday, July 26, 2012

Dax 25.7.2012

Technical indicators are currently a little bit bearish. MACD lines have crossed downwards and RSI reading is below 50. However, 200 days moving average has served as a support during whole July. 6544 Fibonacci level broke down violently and even Dax is flirting with it's SMA(200) we can still expect 6242 level to be touched.

Shorter term cycle indicator is down and investors are getting rid of riskier assets and stocks.

McClellan Summation Index is also pointing down.

50 day cycle indicator lines also crossed downwards and normally this has meant more down ahead.

US investors seem to have no clue whether to invest or not.

Monday, July 23, 2012

Dax trend and rebound 23.7.2012

Seems like the risk appetite is about to decrease as expected. Chasing high beta doesn't usually last long.

Anyway, longer term trend still seems to point up.

Stock correlation is at unpleasant high level, so diversification won't help now because most of the stocks are moving into same direction.

We already have had a quite strong pullback. It would be great opportunity for a rebound tomorrow.

Thursday, July 19, 2012

Dax and risk 19.7.2012

It is highly probable that we will see some kind of consolidation during next 1-5 days. Investors have been chasing high beta so intensively, that the risk cycle has already been topping and thus not letting much room for the upside.